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Analysts Expect Five Below to Deliver 'Squishy' Quarter and Lower Guidance

By Senad Karaahmetovic Ahead of Five Below’s (NASDAQ:FIVE) Q2 earnings report that is due tomorrow, analysts are mostly lowering price targets. A UBS analyst cut the price target...
Analysts Expect Five Below to Deliver 'Squishy' Quarter and Lower Guidance © Reuters. Analysts Expect Five Below (FIVE) to Deliver 'Squishy' Quarter and Lower Guidance

By Senad Karaahmetovic

Ahead of Five Below’s (NASDAQ:FIVE) Q2 earnings report that is due tomorrow, analysts are mostly lowering price targets.

A UBS analyst cut the price target to $165 from $180 as he expects the company to lower its full-year guidance “amid an uncertain macro backdrop.”

“We think downside is well anticipated. As the market looks to next year when FIVE's comps will be on more stable footing, we think the stock will rally,” he tells clients in a note.

The analyst adds that this may prove to be the reset quarter for the company with the outlook lowered to that point “where it is confident that it won't have to lower guidance again.”

“We think it won't need to lower its EPS guidance as much as its sales guidance. Based on our client conversation, the market is expecting a range of $4.30 to $4.50. We think the higher end of that range would be well-received,” he added.

A Bank of America analyst also slashed the price target as he went from $200 to $180. He sees FIVE delivering a “squishy” quarter. The store checks show “elevated promos” while high inventory indicates “weak sell-through.”

“Reflecting our more cautious read on near-term trends, we are lowering our estimates and price objective,” he said in a client note.

Still, the BofA analyst remains bullish on the long-term story growth as well as valuation.

“We expect FIVE will cut its FY22 guidance but still imply an acceleration in 4Q as management expects holiday shopping will drive trade-down, more stores will be in the Beyond format featuring items of more than $5 and inventory will be better in stock,” he added.

FIVE shares are up about 2.8% at the open.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

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Buy (3)

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Gold Futures

2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

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↑ Sell

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (9)

Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

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↑ Sell

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Buy (2)

Sell (10)

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Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Copper Futures

4.5305

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Buy (8)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

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Buy (1)

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

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1.946

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Indicators:

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Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

213.73

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Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

-60.54 (-1.22%)

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Buy (4)

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Sell (7)

S&P 500

5,035.69

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↑ Sell

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

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FTSE 100

8,144.13

-2.90 (-0.04%)

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Sell

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Buy (5)

Sell (7)

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Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Hang Seng

17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

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Buy (0)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

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Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

BASF SE NA O.N.

49.155

+0.100 (+0.20%)

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↑ Sell

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Sell (7)

Bayer AG NA

27.35

-0.24 (-0.87%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

+0.30 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Adidas AG

226.40

-5.90 (-2.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

175.90

-1.74 (-0.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

-0.094 (-0.62%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

 EUR/USD1.0658↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2475↑ Sell
 USD/JPY157.91↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6469Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3780↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
 Silver26.677↑ Sell
 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
 Brent Oil85.62↑ Sell
 Natural Gas1.946↑ Sell
 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,920.55↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,035.69↑ Sell
 DAX17,921.95↑ Sell
 FTSE 1008,144.13Sell
 Hang Seng17,763.03↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
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