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Australian business activity remains robust in August-survey

Tuesday, September 13, 2022
Australian business activity remains robust in August-survey © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A shopper holds items and looks at others on sale at a clothing retail store in central Sydney, Australia, March 19, 2017. REUTERS/Steven Saphore/File Photo
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SYDNEY (Reuters) - A measure of Australian business confidence picked up for a second month in August as sales stayed surprisingly strong in the face of rising interest rates and high inflation, while intense cost pressures also showed some sign of cooling.

Tuesday's survey from National Australia Bank (OTC:NABZY) Ltd (NAB) showed its index of business conditions rose 1 point to +20 in August, well above its long-run average.

Its measure of confidence firmed 2 points to +10, leaving it above the long-run average.

"Overall, the survey indicates that demand remained strong through August," said NAB group chief economist Alan Oster.

"We continue to expect that inflation and rising interest rates will eventually begin to weigh on household budgets more materially," he added. "So far, however, it appears this dynamic is yet to take hold."

Surging inflation has led the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to hike five times since early May, lifting rates by 225 basis points to 2.35% and warning of yet more ahead.

Markets suspect the RBA may slow a little from here and are leaning toward a quarter-point move in October.

NAB survey's measure of purchase costs did show some easing in August to 4.4%, from a record high of 5.3% in July. Labour cost growth also slowed to 3.5% at a quarterly pace, from 4.5%, while growth in retail prices held at 3.3%.

The survey continued to show resilience in demand, with its measure of sales climbing 4 points to a very strong +30 in August, the highest in more than a year.

Firms were still running flat out with capacity utilisation just off a record high at 86.3%.

Profitability dipped 2 points to a still-firm +16, while the employment index also eased 2 points to +16. Official figures showed the jobless rate fell to a fresh 48-year low of 3.4% in July.

A separate survey of consumers from Westpac showed a bounce in confidence in early September, thanks in part to the strength of the labour market.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
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