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China Deflation Pressure Worsens as Economy Slumps, Survey Shows

(Bloomberg) -- Deflationary pressure in China worsened in the fourth quarter as the economy slumped, with price-growth likely to be subdued even when the economy rebounds later...
China Deflation Pressure Worsens as Economy Slumps, Survey Shows

(Bloomberg) -- Deflationary pressure in China worsened in the fourth quarter as the economy slumped, with price-growth likely to be subdued even when the economy rebounds later this year, according to China Beige Book International.

Companies recorded the weakest growth in wages and input costs in the final three months of 2022 since mid-2020, CBBI said in a report Tuesday. Growth in sale prices also slowed to the worst level since late 2020, it said.

The report is based on surveys that CBBI, a provider of independent economic data, conducted with 4,354 businesses during the period.

“Short term disinflation is already here, with sales price growth slowing to a crawl,”it said. “The Covid blow to retail could push this into deflation in the first quarter.”

Consumer inflation slowed to 1.6% in November from 2.1% in the prior month as Covid disruptions suppressed demand, official data showed. Economists polled by Bloomberg expect full-year inflation to remain relatively subdued at 2.3% this year even as economic growth picks up.

Inflation will likely return after the first quarter, but “will largely represent the making up of lost ground before fading,”  CBBI said in the report.

Any sustained and substantial price increases would require prolonged policy easing, while China still faces long-term deflationary pressures from demographic challenges, it said.

©2023 Bloomberg L.P.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

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AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

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Gold Futures

2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

Summary

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Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

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Copper Futures

4.5305

-0.0105 (-0.23%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

-0.71 (-0.82%)

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Natural Gas Futures

1.946

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US Coffee C Futures

213.73

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

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S&P 500

5,035.69

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

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FTSE 100

8,144.13

-2.90 (-0.04%)

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Hang Seng

17,763.03

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US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

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IBEX 35

10,854.40

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Neutral

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BASF SE NA O.N.

49.155

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Bayer AG NA

27.35

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

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Adidas AG

226.40

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

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Moving Avg:

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 EUR/USD1.0658↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2475↑ Sell
 USD/JPY157.91↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6469Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3780↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
 Silver26.677↑ Sell
 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
 Brent Oil85.62↑ Sell
 Natural Gas1.946↑ Sell
 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,920.55↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,035.69↑ Sell
 DAX17,921.95↑ Sell
 FTSE 1008,144.13Sell
 Hang Seng17,763.03↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank8,300/ 8,500
(8,300/ 8,500) # 1,298
SJC 1L, 10L, 1KG8,300/ 8,520
(0/ 0) # 1,510
SJC 1c, 2c, 5c7,380/ 7,550
(0/ 0) # 540
SJC 0,5c7,380/ 7,560
(0/ 0) # 550
SJC 99,99%7,370/ 7,470
(0/ 0) # 460
SJC 99%7,196/ 7,396
(0/ 0) # 386
Cập nhật 01-05-2024 10:45:19
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RON 95-V25.44025.940
RON 95-III24.91025.400
E5 RON 92-II23.91024.380
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GBP30.873,5232.211,36
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KRW15,9219,31
Cập nhật lúc 10:45:15 01/05/2024
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