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Dollar holds ground ahead of Fed, yuan under pressure

Friday, September 16, 2022
Dollar holds ground ahead of Fed, yuan under pressure © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File Photo
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By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar eased from multi-year highs on Friday after a strong rally earlier in the week, though expectations that the Federal Reserve would need to hike more to keep inflation in check sent Treasury yields higher and kept the greenback in demand.

The towering dollar pushed the offshore yuan past the critical threshold of 7 per dollar overnight for the first time in more than two years, with the yuan kept under pressure at 7.0032 in the early Asia trade.

The onshore unit hovered dangerously close to the breakpoint, and last closed at 6.9971 per dollar.

Often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, the Aussie hit a two-month low of $0.6685 on Friday.

The kiwi likewise fell to $0.5956, its lowest level since May 2020.

"I think it's partly that, I think it is a psychological level," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank (OTC:NABZY), of the correlation between the antipodean currencies and the yuan's decline.

"But I also think it was the big fall in oil prices and also other commodities ... the size of the oil price move has obviously impacted all commodity or pro-cyclical currencies."

Meanwhile, the euro was up 0.14% to $1.0008, while sterling gained 0.02% to $1.1474.

The dollar was down 0.37% against the Japanese yen to 142.96, helped slightly by hopes of a potential currency intervention.

Traders now shift their focus to a slew of monetary policy meetings by the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England next week, with the Fed in centre stage.

U.S. retail data released overnight showed retail sales unexpectedly rebounded in August, while a separate report from the Labor Department showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 5,000, adding to the case that the economy could tolerate higher interest rates.

Treasury yields rose on the back of the data, as investors revised their expectations of where rates could go. The two-year hit a fresh 15-year high of 3.879% overnight, and last stood at 3.8646%. Meanwhile, the 10-year yields firmed at 3.4431%.

Fed funds futures now point to a 25% chance of a 100 basis point hike at next week's meeting.

"The dollar strength will persist, at least in the near term. The two key factors that are supporting the U.S. dollar are still in place, so we've got very hawkish market pricing for the FOMC ... and also, we've got this worsening global growth outlook," said Carol Kong, senior associate for international economics and currency strategy at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY).

"As long as the prospect for the global economy is still weak, the U.S. dollar can remain strong and perhaps edge a little bit higher."

The U.S. dollar index was down 0.16% to 109.61, but remained close to its two-decade peak of 110.79.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

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AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

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Gold Futures

2,295.80

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Silver Futures

26.677

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Copper Futures

4.5305

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

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US Coffee C Futures

213.73

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

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S&P 500

5,035.69

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

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FTSE 100

8,144.13

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Sell

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Hang Seng

17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

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IBEX 35

10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

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Neutral

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49.155

+0.100 (+0.20%)

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Bayer AG NA

27.35

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

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Adidas AG

226.40

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

Summary

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

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Moving Avg:

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank8,300/ 8,500
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