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Lululemon Athletica’s Upcoming Q2 Preview, Fundamental Outperformance to Continue

By Davit Kirakosyan A Stifel analyst provided an earnings preview on Lululemon Athletica Inc (NASDAQ:LULU) ahead of the company’s upcoming Q2 results, expected to be reported in...
Lululemon Athletica’s Upcoming Q2 Preview, Fundamental Outperformance to Continue © Reuters. Lululemon Athletica’s Upcoming Q2 Preview, Fundamental Outperformance to Continue

By Davit Kirakosyan

A Stifel analyst provided an earnings preview on Lululemon Athletica Inc (NASDAQ:LULU) ahead of the company’s upcoming Q2 results, expected to be reported in early September.

The analyst expects the company to deliver in-line or better quarterly results, highlighting the company’s (1) relative momentum vs. peers, (2) strong merchandise assortment and consumer reception to new product, and (3) deeper inventory positions.

Against a backdrop of subdued fundamental expectations but improving investor sentiment on consumer discretionary names, the analyst believes shares could trade higher into the Q2 report.

Stifel remains comfortable with its in-line revenue and EPS estimates for $1.775 billion and $1.86 reflecting the upper end of the prior guided range of $1.750-$1.775 billion and $1.82-$1.87.

The analyst’s Q2 revenue estimate for a 22.4% year-over-year growth is led by Company-Operated Stores (modeled at +25.1% year-over-year to $869.7 million vs. consensus of $874.9 million). The analyst estimates E-commerce sales to grow 21.1% year-over-year to $724 million (vs. consensus of $725 million) and Other sales (including MIRROR) to grow 15.0% year-over-year to $182 million (vs. consensus of $174.3 million).

Despite the challenging backdrop for many, the analyst has confidence in the company’s fundamental resilience and capacity for outperformance relative to expectations. “Big picture, LULU added guests to the franchise through the pandemic and is monetizing this loyal following by expanding the range of offerings to sell to this loyal consumer base,” added the analyst.

Stifel reiterated its buy rating and $381 price target.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0658↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2475↑ Sell
 USD/JPY157.91↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6469Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3780↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
 Silver26.677↑ Sell
 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
 Brent Oil85.62↑ Sell
 Natural Gas1.946↑ Sell
 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,920.55↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,035.69↑ Sell
 DAX17,921.95↑ Sell
 FTSE 1008,144.13Sell
 Hang Seng17,763.03↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
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