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Marketmind: Kickin' up a storm

Friday, September 30, 2022
Marketmind: Kickin' up a storm © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A pedestrian walks past a giant display showing a stock graph, in Shanghai, China August 3, 2022. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo
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(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever

As Hurricane Ian batters parts of Florida, investors are once again battening down the hatches to protect themselves from the storm of financial stress and volatility ripping through world markets.

Thursday's churn served only to show the fleeting nature of Wednesday's respite.

World stocks plumbed a new two-year low, the Nasdaq sank more than 3% to test June's low, while the S&P 500 took it out to extend this year's peak-to-trough decline to 25%.

It is not all doom and gloom. Some assets that have been hit hard recently steadied - the long end of the UK bond market was calm, and sterling bounced back to $1.10 in its biggest rise in two and a half years.

But sentiment is fragile as a tough quarter ends, and risks are building - implied volatility in the $23 trillion U.S. Treasury market is the highest since 2009, and dollar funding markets are showing year-end stress.

Might some sort of global, coordinated action be needed soon?

Graphics: U.S. Treasury market volatility - MOVE index - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/dwvkroajxpm/MOVE.png

Graphics: Global financial conditions - Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) index - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/egpbkzmlxvq/GlobalFCI.jpg

Investors in Asia have plenty of local meat to chew over on Friday.

India's central bank is expected to raise its benchmark repo rate half a point to 4.90%. Will that lift the rupee from its record low against the dollar?

Chinese PMIs are expected to show activity contracted again in September. The yuan is under heavy selling pressure, and the PBOC has asked major state banks to prepare for offshore yuan-buying intervention.

Full-year earnings from Hong Kong property developer New World Development could give a glimpse into how badly China's real estate sector is doing.

A raft of economic data from Japan - including unemployment, retail sales and consumer confidence - as well as South Korea and Australia is also on tap on Friday.

Key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Friday:

India interest rate decision

China PMIs (September)

South Korea industrial production, retail sales (August)

Japan unemployment, retail sales, industrial output (Aug)

Japan consumer confidence (September)

Australia credit growth (August)

Euro zone inflation (September)

U.S. PCE inflation (September)

University of Michigan U.S. inflation expectations (Sept)

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EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

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Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Copper Futures

4.5305

-0.0105 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Buy (8)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

-0.79 (-0.96%)

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Indicators:

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

-0.71 (-0.82%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Natural Gas Futures

1.946

-0.009 (-0.46%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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US Coffee C Futures

213.73

-13.77 (-6.05%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Sell (10)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

-60.54 (-1.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (8)

Indicators:

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Sell (7)

S&P 500

5,035.69

-80.48 (-1.57%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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Sell (6)

FTSE 100

8,144.13

-2.90 (-0.04%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Hang Seng

17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

BASF SE NA O.N.

49.155

+0.100 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Bayer AG NA

27.35

-0.24 (-0.87%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

+0.30 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Adidas AG

226.40

-5.90 (-2.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

175.90

-1.74 (-0.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

-0.094 (-0.62%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
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