Oil prices fall as dollar gains, U.S. inflation data in spotlight

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By Mohi Narayan and Isabel Kua

(Reuters) -Oil prices slipped for a third straight session on Wednesday as the dollar gained steam and investors braced for U.S. inflation data, while global recession risks and tightening COVID-19 curbs in China triggered worries about fuel demand

Brent crude futures fell 46 cents, or 0.5%, to $93.83 a barrel by 0410 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $88.81 a barrel, down 54 cents, or 0.6%.

Both benchmarks fell 2% in the previous session.

The greenback rose to a fresh 24-year high against the yen on Wednesday on concerns about inflation and the pace of U.S. rate hikes. A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies and tends to weigh on oil and other risk assets.

"Despite fundamentals auguring higher for oil and a rather hefty production cut OPEC backstop, any breakdown in risk assets may continue to hurt oil prices until some semblance of bottom forms in risk assets," Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management said in a note.

"So, a hot CPI and even a dreary U.S. earning season could negatively impact oil markets," Innes added.

The U.S. consumer price report is due on Thursday.

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its global growth forecast for 2023 and warned of increasing risk of a global recession.

But the IMF also urged central banks to keep up their fight against inflation even as investors worry policymakers could trigger a sharp economic downturn by raising borrowing costs too fast and too high.

The oil market is also being pressured by tightening COVID-19 curbs in China, the world's second-largest oil consumer.

Big Chinese cities including Shanghai and Shenzhen have ramped up COVID-19 testing and tightened restrictions after infections rose to their highest since August.

"Chinese authorities are indicating that there will not be any relaxation in their COVID-19 policy, further worsening the demand situation," ANZ Research analysts said in a note.

On the supply side, U.S. crude oil stocks were estimated to have risen by 1.8 million barrels in the week to Oct. 7, after having fallen the prior two weeks, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.

Inventories data has been delayed by a day this week because of a holiday on Monday. Industry data from the American Petroleum Institute is due at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Wednesday while the U.S. Energy Information Administration, will release its data at 11 a.m. EDT (1500 GMT) on Thursday.