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Oil rises 1% as petroleum demand set to touch record next year

By Arathy Somasekhar HOUSTON (Reuters) - Oil prices climbed marginally on Tuesday as the U.S. government forecast record global petroleum consumption next year and as the dollar...
Oil rises 1% as petroleum demand set to touch record next year © Reuters. A pump is seen at a gas station in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 11, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
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By Arathy Somasekhar

HOUSTON (Reuters) - Oil prices climbed marginally on Tuesday as the U.S. government forecast record global petroleum consumption next year and as the dollar hovered at seven-month lows.

Global consumption of liquid fuels is forecast to reach 102.2 million barrels per day in 2024, driven primarily by growth in countries like India and China, reflecting trends in economic activity, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its Short-Term Energy Outlook.

Brent futures rose 75 cents, 0.9%, to $80.40 a barrel by 12:27 p.m. ET (1727 GMT), while U.S. crude gained 80 cents, or 1.1%, at $75.45 per barrel.

Markets also awaited clarity on the U.S. Federal Reserve's plans to raise interest rates after Fed Chair Jerome Powell avoided comments on monetary policy and the economy at a symposium. Traders are now looking to U.S. CPI data on Thursday for indications on the near-term outlook.

Thursday's data "could easily clarify the direction of the financial and oil markets for weeks to come", said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

He said the dollar would fall if inflation came in below expectations or was below the November reading, Varga added.

The dollar hovered around its weakest level in seven months. [USD/] A weaker dollar can boost demand for oil, as greenback-denominated commodities become cheaper for holders of other currencies.

Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said the U.S. central bank will have to raise interest rates further to combat high inflation and that will likely lead to softer job market conditions.

On Monday, both WTI and Brent climbed 1% after China, the world's biggest oil importer and second-largest consumer, opened its borders over the weekend for the first time in three years.

China also issued a second batch of 2023 crude import quotas, raising the total for this year by 20% from last year.

"Crude is trying to solidify a bottom, as China has lifted most restrictions to international travel and trade," said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.

But analysts said a revival of Chinese demand may only give oil prices limited support under downward pressure from the global economy.

"Considering that the recovery of consumption is still at the expected stage, the oil price will most likely remain low and range-bound," said analysts from Haitong Futures.

Barclays (LON:BARC) bank highlighted a $15-25 per barrel downside to its $98 per barrel Brent forecast for 2023 if a "slump in global manufacturing activity worsens similar to the 2009-09 episode."

Separately, U.S. stockpiles of crude oil and distillates were expected to have fallen last week, a Reuters poll showed. [EIA/S]

Industry group American Petroleum Institute is due to release data on U.S. crude inventories at 4:30 p.m. ET, followed by EIA data on Wednesday.

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EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

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Moving Avg:

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GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

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USD/JPY

157.91

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0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
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