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Oil Rises as Russian Price Cap Looms, But Weekly Losses on Tap

By Ambar Warrick  AiVIF.com-- Oil prices rose on Friday as markets awaited the passing of a price cap on Russian exports, although concerns over Chinese demand and a hawkish...
Oil Rises as Russian Price Cap Looms, But Weekly Losses on Tap © Reuters.
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By Ambar Warrick 

AiVIF.com-- Oil prices rose on Friday as markets awaited the passing of a price cap on Russian exports, although concerns over Chinese demand and a hawkish Federal Reserve put crude on course to end the week lower. 

Reuters reported that the Group of Seven (G7) rich countries agreed to set a fixed price when curbs on Russian oil exports kick in later this month. The passing of the price caps is expected to eventually tighten crude supplies, given that Russia warned it will stop supplying oil to any countries that agree to the curbs. 

Brent oil futures rose 0.6% to $94.18 a barrel in early Asian trade, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures, the U.S. benchmark, rose 0.6% to $88.69 a barrel. But Brent was set to lose around 1% this week, while WTI futures were set to close the week flat.

The Russian oil price caps are intended to dent Moscow's oil revenues in response to the country’s invasion of Ukraine. But markets are doubtful over the effectiveness of the curbs, given that major Russian importers China and India have given little indication they will comply. 

The curbs will also effectively cut off any Russian fuel exports to the west, which is expected to severely curb supplies in the coming months. 

Oil prices started the week on strong footing amid rumors that China was planning to scale back its strict zero-COVID policy. But prices reversed most of their gains after Beijing dismissed the rumor. 

The zero-COVID policy is at the heart of China’s economic slowdown this year, and has severely crimped crude demand in the country. 

Crude prices were also dented by strength in the dollar, after the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates and presented a more hawkish stance than markets were expecting. The move ramped up concerns that the Fed is willing to risk a U.S. recession in its fight against inflation- a scenario that is negative for crude demand. 

Oil prices fell sharply this year amid growing concerns that high inflation and rising interest rates will slow global economic growth, weighing on crude demand.

But data released this week showed a much bigger drawdown in weekly U.S. inventories than expected, signaling that crude demand in the world’s largest economy remained steady. 

The OPEC, which announced a two million barrel per day supply cut in October, flagged stronger crude demand in the medium to long term. The cartel also assured investors this week that it stands ready to help stabilize oil prices. 

 

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

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Indicators:

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Sell (2)

Gold Futures

2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (10)

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Sell (9)

Copper Futures

4.5305

-0.0105 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

-0.79 (-0.96%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

-0.71 (-0.82%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Natural Gas Futures

1.946

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US Coffee C Futures

213.73

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

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S&P 500

5,035.69

-80.48 (-1.57%)

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

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FTSE 100

8,144.13

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Sell

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17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

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Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

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Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

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Buy (0)

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IBEX 35

10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

Summary

Neutral

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49.155

+0.100 (+0.20%)

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Bayer AG NA

27.35

-0.24 (-0.87%)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

+0.30 (+0.11%)

Summary

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Adidas AG

226.40

-5.90 (-2.54%)

Summary

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

-1.74 (-0.98%)

Summary

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

-0.094 (-0.62%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank8,300/ 8,500
(8,300/ 8,500) # 1,298
SJC 1L, 10L, 1KG8,300/ 8,520
(0/ 0) # 1,510
SJC 1c, 2c, 5c7,380/ 7,550
(0/ 0) # 540
SJC 0,5c7,380/ 7,560
(0/ 0) # 550
SJC 99,99%7,370/ 7,470
(0/ 0) # 460
SJC 99%7,196/ 7,396
(0/ 0) # 386
Cập nhật 01-05-2024 10:45:19
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