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Summers Sees U.S. Inflation Ending 2021 ‘Pretty Close’ to 5%

26 Tháng Sáu 2021
Summers Sees U.S. Inflation Ending 2021 ‘Pretty Close’ to 5% © Bloomberg. Larry Summers, former U.S. Treasury secretary, speaks during an Economic Club of New York event in New York, U.S., on Wednesday, May 16, 2018. Summers discussed government, budget, and public investment. Photographer: Mark Kauzlarich/Bloomberg

(Bloomberg) -- Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers predicted inflation will be running “pretty close” to 5% at the end of this year and that bond yields will likely rise as a result over the rest of 2021.

“My guess is that at the end of the year inflation will, for this year, come out pretty close to 5%,” Summers told Bloomberg Television’s “Wall Street Week” with David Westin. “It would surprise me if we had 5% inflation with no effect on inflation expectations.”

Summers, a paid contributor to Bloomberg, has repeatedly predicted massive monetary and fiscal stimulus alongside the reopening of the economy would spark considerable price pressures. That’s at odds with economists in the White House and Federal Reserve, who argue the recent inflation surge will soon pass.

Consumer prices advanced 5% in May from the previous year. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told lawmakers this week that she expected annual inflation to be below that level by the end of this year.

Asked how financial markets may behave in the rest of 2021, Summers said “there will probably be more turbulence” as traders react to faster inflation by pushing up bond yields.

“We’ve got a lot of processing ahead of us in markets,” he said.

Summers, who now teaches at Harvard University, also praised President Joe Biden’s tentative deal with a group of Democratic and Republican senators on a $579 billion infrastructure plan and echoed the White House’s call for even more to be spent on “human infrastructure.”

“There is a lot that is left to do that should be supported,” Summers said. “The investment will strengthen our economy.”

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.

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 EUR/USD1.0658↑ Sell
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 USD/CAD1.3780↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
 Silver26.677↑ Sell
 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
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 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,920.55↑ Sell
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 DAX17,921.95↑ Sell
 FTSE 1008,144.13Sell
 Hang Seng17,763.03↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
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