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Asia FX stalls, dollar steadies in anticipation of Powell speech

By Ambar Warrick  AiVIF.com-- A rally in Asian currencies stalled on Tuesday as markets awaited more cues on U.S. monetary policy from an address by Federal Reserve Chair...
Asia FX stalls, dollar steadies in anticipation of Powell speech © Reuters.
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By Ambar Warrick 

AiVIF.com-- A rally in Asian currencies stalled on Tuesday as markets awaited more cues on U.S. monetary policy from an address by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later in the day, while caution over a Chinese reopening grew amid rising COVID-19 cases in the country.

Powell is expected to shed more light on the path of U.S. interest rates and economic growth during an address at a bank symposium in Sweden later in the day. 

Markets will be watching for any changes to the Fed chair’s hawkish rhetoric, especially amid growing signs that U.S. inflation is easing. The prospect of a less hawkish Fed is expected to provide much relief to Asian markets, after a sharp rise in rates battered regional markets in 2022.

China’s yuan rose 0.1%, sticking to a four-month high. The currency rallied sharply in recent sessions after China relaxed most anti-COVID measures and reopened its international borders in a clear pivot away from three years of zero-COVID.

But while the move is expected to eventually spur an economic bounceback, markets are cautious over the country’s near-term outlook, as the relaxing of measures also resulted in China’s worst yet COVID-19 outbreak. 

Other China-exposed currencies also slowed after recent gains. The South Korean won traded flat, while the Australian dollar and Singapore dollar lost 0.1% each.  

The Japanese yen was flat, even as data showed inflation in Tokyo grew more than expected in December, likely heralding a similar trend in countrywide inflation. 

The yen had rallied towards the end of 2022 amid growing bets that overheated inflation will push the Bank of Japan into eventually reversing nearly a decade of ultra-loose monetary policy. 

Broader Asian currencies moved little, while the dollar regained some strength after some Fed officials said overnight that the central bank could hike interest rates beyond the 5% mark in 2023. 

The dollar index and dollar index futures rose about 0.2% each, recovering slightly from a seven-month low. The greenback has tumbled in recent months amid growing bets that the Fed will hike interest rates at a slower pace in the near term.

But the central bank also signaled that it will likely maintain high interest rates for longer, raising uncertainty over where U.S. borrowing costs will peak. With inflation still trending well above the central bank’s target range, the path of interest rates is likely to track that of inflation.

Focus this week is also on consumer inflation data for December, due on Thursday. The reading is expected to show that price pressures eased further from the prior month, as economic activity eased and the labor market also cooled. 

 

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

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Sell (2)

Gold Futures

2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

Summary

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Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (10)

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Copper Futures

4.5305

-0.0105 (-0.23%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

-0.79 (-0.96%)

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Indicators:

Buy (1)

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

-0.71 (-0.82%)

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Natural Gas Futures

1.946

-0.009 (-0.46%)

Summary

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Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

213.73

-13.77 (-6.05%)

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

-60.54 (-1.22%)

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S&P 500

5,035.69

-80.48 (-1.57%)

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Moving Avg:

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (6)

FTSE 100

8,144.13

-2.90 (-0.04%)

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Sell

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Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Hang Seng

17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

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Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

BASF SE NA O.N.

49.155

+0.100 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Bayer AG NA

27.35

-0.24 (-0.87%)

Summary

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Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

+0.30 (+0.11%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

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Adidas AG

226.40

-5.90 (-2.54%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

-1.74 (-0.98%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

-0.094 (-0.62%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank8,300/ 8,500
(8,300/ 8,500) # 1,298
SJC 1L, 10L, 1KG8,300/ 8,520
(0/ 0) # 1,510
SJC 1c, 2c, 5c7,380/ 7,550
(0/ 0) # 540
SJC 0,5c7,380/ 7,560
(0/ 0) # 550
SJC 99,99%7,370/ 7,470
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SJC 99%7,196/ 7,396
(0/ 0) # 386
Cập nhật 01-05-2024 10:45:19
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
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GBP30.873,5232.211,36
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KRW15,9219,31
Cập nhật lúc 10:45:15 01/05/2024
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