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Dollar gains amid political uncertainty as U.S. midterms loom

By Peter Nurse  AiVIF.com - The U.S. dollar rose in early European trade Tuesday, with the safe haven benefiting from uncertainty ahead of the U.S. midterm elections, which...
Dollar gains amid political uncertainty as U.S. midterms loom
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By Peter Nurse 

AiVIF.com - The U.S. dollar rose in early European trade Tuesday, with the safe haven benefiting from uncertainty ahead of the U.S. midterm elections, which could change the political climate.

At 03:05 ET (08:05 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.2% higher at 110.241, rebounding from the previous session's weakness.

Attention Tuesday is firmly fixed on the start of voting in the U.S. midterm elections later in the day, with the Republicans widely expected to take control of the House of Representatives, potentially stymieing President Joe Biden's legislative agenda.

Worries also exist that a conclusive result could take days to be officially recognized, given the heated U.S. political climate.

Additionally, "a split Congress and President Biden left to focus on international issues such as trade could end up proving mildly positive for the dollar," said analysts at ING, in a note.

"The Biden Administration's stance on Chinese trade has not been as accommodative as many had expected back in 2020 and the recent tightening of restrictions in the semiconductor sector could lay the groundwork for a more hawkish trade path into 2024."

That said, the outcome could still be negative for the dollar if it leads to less fiscal stimulus.

EUR/USD fell 0.2% to 0.9995, dipping back below parity ahead of the release of the latest Eurozone retail sales data for September.

This is expected to show sales down an annual 1.3%, an improvement of 0.4% on the month, but still indicative of severe pressure on discretionary spending in the region as inflation continues to run at record levels.

GBP/USD fell 0.4% to 1.1465, handing back some of the previous session's gains, while the risk-sensitive AUD/USD fell 0.5% to 0.6446 after Australian consumer sentiment fell to a two-year low, according to data released earlier Tuesday, on the back of rising interest rates and high inflation.

USD/JPY rose 0.2% to 146.83, with data from the Ministry of Finance showing that Japan's foreign exchange reserves declined further in October, following the previous month's record drop, as Japanese authorities attempted to support the beleaguered yen.

USD/CNY rose 0.4% to 7.2555, amid waning hopes that the Chinese government will scale back its zero-COVID policy in the near future.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Buy (7)

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EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

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Buy (3)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

Summary

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Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

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Copper Futures

4.5305

-0.0105 (-0.23%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

-0.79 (-0.96%)

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

-0.71 (-0.82%)

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Natural Gas Futures

1.946

-0.009 (-0.46%)

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US Coffee C Futures

213.73

-13.77 (-6.05%)

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

-60.54 (-1.22%)

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S&P 500

5,035.69

-80.48 (-1.57%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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FTSE 100

8,144.13

-2.90 (-0.04%)

Summary

Sell

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Indicators:

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Hang Seng

17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

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Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

Summary

Neutral

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BASF SE NA O.N.

49.155

+0.100 (+0.20%)

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Bayer AG NA

27.35

-0.24 (-0.87%)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

+0.30 (+0.11%)

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Adidas AG

226.40

-5.90 (-2.54%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

-1.74 (-0.98%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

-0.094 (-0.62%)

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank8,300/ 8,500
(8,300/ 8,500) # 1,298
SJC 1L, 10L, 1KG8,300/ 8,520
(0/ 0) # 1,510
SJC 1c, 2c, 5c7,380/ 7,550
(0/ 0) # 540
SJC 0,5c7,380/ 7,560
(0/ 0) # 550
SJC 99,99%7,370/ 7,470
(0/ 0) # 460
SJC 99%7,196/ 7,396
(0/ 0) # 386
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Cập nhật lúc 10:45:15 01/05/2024
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