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KeyBanc's 2023 Fintech Outlook: Mastercard and Visa upgraded, PayPal cut

By Senad Karaahmetovic KeyBanc analysts have weighed in on fintech stocks and made a number of rating changes as they argue that the sector is being reshaped by Embedded...
KeyBanc's 2023 Fintech Outlook: Mastercard and Visa upgraded, PayPal cut © Reuters. KeyBanc's 2023 Fintech Outlook: Mastercard (MA) and Visa (V) upgraded, PayPal (PYPL) cut
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By Senad Karaahmetovic

KeyBanc analysts have weighed in on fintech stocks and made a number of rating changes as they argue that the sector is being reshaped by Embedded Finance.

The new environment, which is based on the model where “FinTech solutions are deeply integrated within cloud-based software platforms utilized by merchants, businesses, consumers and issuers, effectively dispersing the value chain toward the edge,” favors companies like Block (NYSE:SQ), they said.

KeyBanc is bullish on Block amid “rising Cash App monetization fueled by Direct Deposit/Card attach and Square distribution expansion with outbound efforts.” The analysts also upgraded Visa (NYSE:V) and Mastercard (NYSE:MA) shares to Overweight from Sector Weight, both seen as Key Ideas in the fintech sector, alongside Block.

“[We] upgrade [V and MA] to OW as our prior travel-related dislocation concerns have faded and new flows (e.g., P2P, B2B, etc.) beyond consumer card are improving the diversification and growth durability,” they wrote in a client note.

On the other hand, KeyBanc downgraded PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) to Sector Weight from Overweight amid “fundamental uncertainty.”

“Prospects that branded share gains could be constrained provided momentum across other wallets such as Apple Pay (KBCM forecasts >$0.5T online TPV),” the analysts added.

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
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