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U.S. dollar tumbles across the board as inflation rise eases

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar nosedived across the board on Tuesday after data showed U.S. consumer price inflation rose less than expected last...
U.S. dollar tumbles across the board as inflation rise eases © Reuters.
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By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar nosedived across the board on Tuesday after data showed U.S. consumer price inflation rose less than expected last month, reinforcing expectations the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of rate increases after its two-day meeting on Wednesday.

The greenback fell to a six-month low against the euro after the data. The euro hit $1.0673, the highest since June, and was last up 0.9% at $1.0631.

Against the yen, the dollar dropped to a one-week low of 134.67, and last changed hands at 135.55 yen, down 1.5%.

The dollar index, measuring the U.S. unit's value versus six major currencies, fell 0.9% to 104.02.

Data showed that headline U.S consumer prices rose modestly in November on an annual basis as gasoline and used cars cost less, leading to the smallest annual inflation increase in nearly a year. In the 12 months through November, the CPI climbed 7.1%, the smallest gain since December 2021, following a 7.7% rise in October.

Excluding volatile food and energy components, the CPI increased 0.2% last month after rising 0.3% in October. In the 12 months through November, the so-called core CPI advanced 6.0% after increasing 6.3% in October.

The report supported widely held expectations for a smaller Fed rate hike of 50 basis points when the central bank announces its decision on Wednesday. Fed funds futures have also priced in a lower terminal rate, where the Fed stops hiking, of 4.8%, expected to hit in May. That was down from about 5.1% seen late last month.

Traders are also betting on 25-basis-point increases at each of the Fed's first two meetings of 2023 and no more, with some chance the last hike could come in May instead of March.

"This would represent a further deceleration in rate hikes and brings closer the interest rate difference between the dollar and other currencies because other countries are hiking too," said Ivan Asensio, head of FX risk advisory at Silicon Valley Bank in San Francisco.

"There's less of a benefit to the U.S. and less pressure for the dollar to rise," he added.

The dollar also posted steep losses against commodity currencies.

The Australian dollar rose 1.6% against the greenback to US$0.6850. The New Zealand dollar gained 1.3% to US$0.6462. Against the Canadian dollar, the U.S. currency fell 0.5% to C$1.3560.

"We would broadly subscribe to the view that markets are expecting a relatively quick shift from the Fed from having raised interest rates till now, to cutting rates over a relatively short time period," said Richard Flax, chief investment officer at Moneyfarm in London.

"Our perspective is that the market is pricing in the possibility that the Fed stays at its peak rate for a little bit longer."

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:00PM (2000 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 104.0000 104.9600 -0.92% 8.715% +105.0900 +103.5700

Euro/Dollar $1.0634 $1.0539 +0.90% -6.46% +$1.0673 +$1.0528

Dollar/Yen 135.5000 137.6450 -1.55% +17.71% +137.9650 +134.6700

Euro/Yen 144.08 145.04 -0.66% +10.56% +145.3400 +143.5400

Dollar/Swiss 0.9288 0.9363 -0.80% +1.83% +0.9374 +0.9232

Sterling/Dollar $1.2371 $1.2274 +0.79% -8.53% +$1.2442 +$1.2249

Dollar/Canadian 1.3555 1.3633 -0.57% +7.21% +1.3644 +1.3522

Aussie/Dollar $0.6855 $0.6747 +1.65% -5.66% +$0.6893 +$0.6730

Euro/Swiss 0.9875 0.9862 +0.13% -4.74% +0.9903 +0.9834

Euro/Sterling 0.8594 0.8586 +0.09% +2.31% +0.8605 +0.8563

NZ $0.6468 $0.6384 +1.32% -5.50% +$0.6513 +$0.6375

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 9.7785 9.9875 -1.99% +11.11% +9.9875 +9.7625

Euro/Norway 10.3963 10.5061 -1.05% +3.83% +10.5353 +10.3705

Dollar/Sweden 10.2117 10.3318 -0.06% +13.22% +10.3422 +10.1719

Euro/Sweden 10.8537 10.8606 -0.06% +6.06% +10.9028 +10.8280

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EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

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Sell (2)

Gold Futures

2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

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Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

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Copper Futures

4.5305

-0.0105 (-0.23%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

-0.79 (-0.96%)

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

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Natural Gas Futures

1.946

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US Coffee C Futures

213.73

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

-60.54 (-1.22%)

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S&P 500

5,035.69

-80.48 (-1.57%)

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

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FTSE 100

8,144.13

-2.90 (-0.04%)

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17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

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US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

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IBEX 35

10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

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Neutral

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BASF SE NA O.N.

49.155

+0.100 (+0.20%)

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Bayer AG NA

27.35

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

+0.30 (+0.11%)

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Adidas AG

226.40

-5.90 (-2.54%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

Summary

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

-0.094 (-0.62%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank8,300/ 8,500
(8,300/ 8,500) # 1,298
SJC 1L, 10L, 1KG8,300/ 8,520
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SJC 1c, 2c, 5c7,380/ 7,550
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SJC 0,5c7,380/ 7,560
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SJC 99,99%7,370/ 7,470
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V25.44025.940
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
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EUR26.475,3627.949,19
GBP30.873,5232.211,36
JPY156,74166,02
KRW15,9219,31
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